In one of the more ironic developments ever to transpire in the DRAM market, now bankrupt Elpida Memory in the first quarter managed to outperform the overall industry and its close competitors, allowing it to rise one position to take the third rank among global suppliers. But if that were not incongruous enough, the company that Elpida displaced from the third rank was Micron Technology – the supplier most likely to acquire Elpida.
Japan's Elpida stepped into third place by grabbing 12.6% market share on the strength of a nearly 1% increase in revenues compared to the fourth quarter of 2011, according to IHS iSuppli. While this growth may seem marginal, Elpida outperformed the overall DRAM market, which in the first quarter posted sales of US$6.2 billion, down 4.4% from US$6.5 billion in the fourth quarter of 2011.
Elpida also surpassed its closest competitor, US-based Micron, whose sales declined by 3% during the same period, causing it to fall one position to fourth place.
"Elpida's displacement of Micron for the No. 3 spot is paradoxical, especially as Micron on May 7 won the right to bid exclusively to buy the Japanese company, after SK Hynix and Toshiba dropped out of the bidding race," said Mike Howard, senior principal analyst for DRAM & memory research at IHS. "Because it would derive the most benefit and has the requisite cash to make a deal, Micron was the most logical choice to purchase Elpida, which filed for bankruptcy in February after incurring more than US$5 billion in debt and running up a string of quarterly losses."
Micron now must negotiate with Elpida on a number of sensitive issues, including retiring or restructuring the Japanese maker's massive liabilities. Micron must also figure out what to do with Elpida's huge facility in Hiroshima, Japan, especially as the strength of the Japanese yen renders manufacturing there uncompetitive.
For Micron, which only in the third quarter of 2011 had captured third place after 20 consecutive quarters in the No. 4 spot, the unhappy return to familiar territory was the result of a 16% decline in ASPs. The drop neutralized the 15% gain in the first quarter that the company achieved with its shipments, causing sales to retreat to US$759 million, equivalent to 12.2% share of the market.
Samsung Electronics and fellow South Korean player Hynix remained the Top 2 DRAM manufacturers in the first quarter of 2012. Samsung saw its share diminish slightly to 40.8% on sales of US$2.5 billion, down sequentially from 43.2%. Despite the slippage, Samsung has controlled more than 40% of the DRAM market for the last four quarters. The electronics giant is believed to be biding its time to ramp up shipment growth until the end of 2012, when DRAM prices are anticipated to be higher.
Meanwhile, runner-up Hynix continued to see its market share climb during the first quarter, reaching its highest level ever at 24.2% on sales of US$1.5 billion.
Rounding out the Top 5 was Nanya Technology of Taiwan, which increased its wafer output back to typical levels after throttling production at the end of 2011. Nanya increased revenues by an industry-leading 24.2% in the first quarter, allowing it to capture 4.5% of the DRAM market.